A full risk report, nothing hidden
What your portfolio really looks like.
We ran Drawdn on a €100,000 allocation across the 11 most popular tickers — S&P 500, Nasdaq, global equity, mega-cap tech, treasuries, gold, and Bitcoin. Every chart, metric and scenario below is the exact output you'd see on your own holdings.
Total Value
€100,000
EUR base
Total P&L
+€47,413
+47.4% on cost
Holdings
11
5 classes · 7 sectors
Effective N
9.0
HHI 0.111 · diversified
Portfolio Grade
Return & Risk-Adjusted
annualised, 5-year windowDownside
95% / 99% confidencePortfolio vs Benchmark
5-year cumulative return vs MSCI World · 2021 → 2026
Monte Carlo Projection
2,000 simulations · 10-year horizon · percentile fan
Outcome Distribution
Where 2,000 simulated paths land after 10 years
Drawdown History
Portfolio value, with worst peak-to-trough drawdown highlighted
Holdings
Every position tagged with a role — Anchor, Growth Engine, Diversifier, Speculative — and a signal from the live risk engine.
| Holding | Class | Role | Weight | Price | P&L | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF VOO · US Large Cap | ETF | Anchor | 20.0% | US$540.00 | +38.5% | HOLD |
Invesco Nasdaq-100 ETF QQQ · Technology | ETF | Growth Engine | 12.0% | US$470.00 | +38.2% | HOLD |
Vanguard FTSE All-World VWRL.L · Global Equity | ETF | Anchor | 12.0% | £118.00 | +24.2% | HOLD |
Microsoft Corp MSFT · Technology | EQUITY | Growth Engine | 9.0% | US$420.00 | +35.5% | HOLD |
Apple Inc AAPL · Technology | EQUITY | Growth Engine | 9.0% | US$215.00 | +30.3% | HOLD |
NVIDIA Corp NVDA · Technology | EQUITY | Speculative | 10.0% | US$120.00 | +185.7% | REVIEW |
Alphabet Inc GOOGL · Communication Services | EQUITY | Growth Engine | 6.0% | US$175.00 | +34.6% | HOLD |
ASML Holding NV ASML.AS · Technology | EQUITY | Growth Engine | 5.0% | €720.00 | +24.1% | WATCH |
iShares 20+ Year Treasury TLT · US Treasuries | BOND | Diversifier | 7.0% | US$92.00 | -14.8% | WATCH |
SPDR Gold Shares GLD · Precious Metals | COMMODITY | Diversifier | 6.0% | US$225.00 | +28.6% | HOLD |
Bitcoin BTC-USD · Crypto | CRYPTO | Speculative | 4.0% | US$68,000 | +94.3% | REVIEW |
| Total | 100.0% | €100,000 | +47.4% | |||
Asset Allocation
Sector Exposure
Technology concentration 45% — monitor vs broader market exposure.
Currency Exposure
Values converted to EUR. Heavy USD tilt — a 5% EUR/USD move shifts portfolio value ~4.1%.
Top Gainers
NVIDIA Corp
NVDA · 10%
+185.7%
contributes 18.6pp to returns
Bitcoin
BTC-USD · 4%
+94.3%
contributes 3.8pp to returns
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
VOO · 20%
+38.5%
contributes 7.7pp to returns
Top Laggards
iShares 20+ Year Treasury
TLT · 7%
-14.8%
contributes -1.0pp to returns
ASML Holding NV
ASML.AS · 5%
+24.1%
contributes 1.2pp to returns
Vanguard FTSE All-World
VWRL.L · 12%
+24.2%
contributes 2.9pp to returns
Correlation Matrix
Pairwise correlation across all 11 holdings · 5-year daily returns
| Holding | VOO | QQQ | VWRL.L | MSFT | AAPL | NVDA | GOOGL | ASML.AS | TLT | GLD | BTC-USD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.96 | 0.85 | 0.82 | 0.78 | 0.82 | 0.71 | -0.22 | 0.08 | 0.38 |
| QQQ | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.82 | -0.25 | 0.05 | 0.45 |
| VWRL.L | 0.96 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.74 | -0.18 | 0.12 | 0.36 |
| MSFT | 0.85 | 0.91 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.76 | 0.81 | 0.72 | -0.19 | 0.02 | 0.38 |
| AAPL | 0.82 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.68 | -0.17 | 0.01 | 0.34 |
| NVDA | 0.78 | 0.89 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 1.00 | 0.74 | 0.78 | -0.22 | 0.06 | 0.52 |
| GOOGL | 0.82 | 0.89 | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.75 | 0.74 | 1.00 | 0.70 | -0.18 | 0.03 | 0.36 |
| ASML.AS | 0.71 | 0.82 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.68 | 0.78 | 0.70 | 1.00 | -0.15 | 0.09 | 0.42 |
| TLT | -0.22 | -0.25 | -0.18 | -0.19 | -0.17 | -0.22 | -0.18 | -0.15 | 1.00 | 0.28 | -0.08 |
| GLD | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.18 |
| BTC-USD | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.34 | 0.52 | 0.36 | 0.42 | -0.08 | 0.18 | 1.00 |
Concentration & Diversification
HHI
0.111
Herfindahl-Hirschman
Effective N
9.0
equal-weight equivalents
Avg Pairwise Corr
0.46
daily returns
You carry the risk of ~9 equally-weighted positions. TLT is the only true negative hedge (-0.19 avg correlation to equities); GLD is effectively uncorrelated (+0.06), which still dampens portfolio variance but through a different mechanism. Without them the effective-N across the remaining 9 equity holdings drops to 7.4.
Historical Stress Tests
Every major market crisis, replayed against this exact portfolio. Losses are in EUR against current market value.
2008 Financial Crisis
Equity collapse, credit freeze, flight to Treasuries
Worst holding: NVDA at -56%
COVID-19 Crash
March 2020 liquidation across risk assets
Worst holding: BTC-USD at -58%
2022 Rate Hikes
Fastest Fed hiking cycle in 40 years
Worst holding: TLT at -31%
Dot-Com Bust
2000–02 tech-led 50% drawdown
Worst holding: QQQ at -48%
Scenarios combine factor sensitivities (rates, credit, USD, oil) with sector exposures to produce holding-level shocks, then aggregate with the correlation matrix.
Portfolio Optimiser
How close are you to the efficient frontier — and what would move you there?
Current Sharpe
0.95
Max Sharpe
1.0699999999999998
Min Vol
0.6799999999999999
Max Return
0.74
Smart Alerts
Automated monitoring with context on what caused each trigger.
Portfolio drew down 34.3% in the 2022 bear market — above your 25% tolerance. TLT and GLD softened the fall versus MSCI World.
NVDA is now 10.0% of the portfolio (up from ~5% at cost basis) after its AI rally. Rebalance recommended.
Average TLT-to-equity correlation is -0.19 — still a hedge, but well above the historical −0.35. Bond-equity decoupling is weakening.
AI Risk Analyst
NVDA is now your largest single-name position
NVDA sits at 10.0% of the portfolio — the largest single name after the three index ETFs — and its +186% return has compounded that concentration. Trimming back to 6% (see Optimiser below) would reduce single-stock risk and lock in a chunk of the AI-cycle gains.
TLT is underperforming its hedge role
TLT is −14.8% on cost and its average correlation to your equity book has drifted to -0.19 — still negative, but well above the pre-2022 baseline of roughly −0.35. Consider replacing half with short-duration Treasuries (SHY/IEF) or moving to money-market to rebuild the diversifier function.
Strong effective diversification
HHI of 0.111 across 11 holdings and 4 asset classes. Effective-N of 9.0 means you carry the risk of roughly 9 equally-weighted positions. TLT (avg equity corr -0.19) is your negative hedge; GLD (+0.06) is near-uncorrelated — the equity book itself moves together.
Technology exposure is 45% of the portfolio
Your Technology-sector holdings (QQQ, MSFT, AAPL, NVDA, ASML.AS) sum to 45% — well above the ~28% broad-market weight. Strong conviction on the theme, but a tech-led drawdown (like dot-com) would hit this portfolio roughly 1.6× harder than MSCI World.
News & Sentiment
Filtered to your holdings. AI-scored sentiment across 11 positions.
NVIDIA Q1 beats again; data-centre revenue +82% YoY
ASML warns on China exposure as export curbs widen
Microsoft Cloud revenue beats; Azure AI grows 40%
30-year yield tops 5% as Fed signals longer hold
Bitcoin crosses $68K on spot ETF inflow surge
Alphabet's Gemini 2 upends enterprise AI pricing
Dividend Income
Everything above, as a PDF
Cover page, executive summary, full metrics, holdings, sectors, winners/losers, and methodology — ready to share with an advisor or archive for your records.
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